Aluminium Arak 1-0 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 15 Feb 2024

Aluminium Arak
1-0 HT 0-0
Persepolis
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.45
Over 2.5
29%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.06
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminium Arak v Persepolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.80/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.66
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
09.08.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
01.02.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
26.08.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
10.04.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 2-3 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
18.02.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
01.11.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Persepolis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Persepolis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.00 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis?

Aluminium Arak 1-0 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 19%, draw 33%, Persepolis 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persepolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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