Spad Alvand Tehran 0-1 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spad Alvand Tehran The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Spad Alvand Tehran vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Besat Kermanshah nicked a narrow win over Spad Alvand Tehran 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spad Alvand Tehran at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Spad Alvand Tehran vs Besat Kermanshah?

Spad Alvand Tehran 0-1 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - 2nd Division on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spad Alvand Tehran vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spad Alvand Tehran win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spad Alvand Tehran 50%, draw 26%, Besat Kermanshah 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spad Alvand Tehran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spad Alvand Tehran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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