Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.68/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.75
+37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 5-0 HT 4-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
16.03.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
26.06.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
20.01.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
30.08.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.04.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg cruised past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Leones Negros Udeg made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.67 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 31%, draw 35%, Leones Negros Udeg 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →