Atlas 0-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Feb 2024

Atlas
0-0 HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlas v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.32/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.48
-15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.3 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
05.02.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-2 HT 2-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
04.09.2022 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.02.2022 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
06.12.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
03.12.2021 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK

Atlas 0-0 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.38 xG 0.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
370 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Pumas UNAM fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atlas had 51% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.38 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atlas and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

Atlas 0-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atlas 37%, draw 26%, Pumas UNAM 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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