Ismaily 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 37% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.87
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.9 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
15.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
31.10.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
27.08.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-3 HT 1-2 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.04.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
2-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.80 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
295 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily edged past Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 44% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ismaily and 1.33 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Ismaily 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 37%, draw 30%, Ceramica Cleopatra 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ismaily) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ismaily) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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