Abha 1-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Feb 2024

Abha
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Taawon
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Abha vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
8%
8.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 62%
+23% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.25/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.26
+24% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +45%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
16.7 Crosses 24.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.6

Abha vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
05.04.2023 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
21.12.2022 Abha Abha 4-3 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SAKK
11.10.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-3 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
19.03.2022 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
30.10.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD

Abha 1-1 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
1-1
AWAY Al Taawon
0.14 xG 1.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 486
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha and Al Taawon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Taawon at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Abha had 39% of the ball to Al Taawon's 61%, shots finished 2-16, expected goals 0.14 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Abha and 1.50 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Taawon?

Abha 1-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Abha 21%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Taawon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
15 Feb 2024
20:00 Al Khaleej vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →