15/02/2024
·
16:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Kipanga vs KMKM Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
42%
31%
Draw
27%
40%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kipanga v KMKM — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kipanga
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
KMKM
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
273 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kipanga vs KMKM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KMKM swept aside Kipanga 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; KMKM found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Kipanga vs KMKM?
Kipanga 0-3 KMKM in the Zanzibar - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kipanga vs KMKM?
Before kick-off our model rated an KMKM win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kipanga 29%, draw 31%, KMKM 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KMKM), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (KMKM)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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