Freiburg (K) 2-0 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

Freiburg (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Köln (K)
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.54/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.61
+150% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
8.0 Crosses 19.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Freiburg (K) vs Köln (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Köln (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 2.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
21.04.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 2-0 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-0
AWAY Köln (K)
3.03 xG 0.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) saw off Köln (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 59% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.03 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Freiburg (K) and 1.00 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-0 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 44%, draw 29%, Köln (K) 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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