Denbigh Town 0-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 57%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Denbigh Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Llanelli Town?

Denbigh Town 0-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 21%, draw 26%, Llanelli Town 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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