Tochigi City 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.4
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
157 Passes 219
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City squeezed past Sagamihara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tochigi City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 55% of the ball to Sagamihara's 45%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

Tochigi City 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 36%, draw 31%, Sagamihara 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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