Moreland City 0-1 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City nicked a narrow win over Moreland City 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Northcote City?

Moreland City 0-1 Northcote City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 27%, draw 29%, Northcote City 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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