Atletico Tucuman 4-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.67
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
10%
8.23
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
11%
7.51
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.36/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.21
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.7 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
17.05.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-3 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
4-0
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2.89 xG 0.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
176 Passes 172
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman swept aside Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 49% of the ball to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's 51%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.89 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Atletico Tucuman 4-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 46%, draw 28%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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