Aurora 1-0 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 28%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.15/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-11% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Coban Imperial
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2025 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
24.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY Coban Imperial
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Coban Imperial 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day Aurora made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Coban Imperial's 47%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aurora and 1.50 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Coban Imperial?

Aurora 1-0 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aurora 40%, draw 30%, Coban Imperial 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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