HNK Gorica 0-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.86
Over Pick
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.14
2-3
36%
1.74
4-5
26%
3.42
6+
11%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar The Market 29%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.25
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -68%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.6 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.17 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR
22.08.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 2-2 HT 1-2 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-0
AWAY Vukovar
0.71 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
220 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW HNK Gorica vs Vukovar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HNK Gorica and Vukovar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Chances came and went, but the finishing never arrived.

A gentle 49% lean on HNK Gorica didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. At 1.86 (~54%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Vukovar saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.65.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for HNK Gorica against 1.50 for Vukovar.

HNK Gorica vs Vukovar Result & Final Score

HNK Gorica 0-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HNK Gorica vs Vukovar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 49%, draw 24%, Vukovar 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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