Twente (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
85%
-4.0pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.4pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.35/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/3.73
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.3 Crosses 11.8
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
403 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Crosses 9
06.09.2025 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-3 HT 1-3 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
07.12.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
31.01.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
5-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 8
16 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
360 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) ran out comfortable winners over Heerenveen (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Twente (K) had 56% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 44%, shots finished 28-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Twente (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Twente (K) and 0.33 for Heerenveen (K).

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Twente (K) 5-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 81%, draw 12%, Heerenveen (K) 7%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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