Real Espana 2-1 Atletico Choloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Espana win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
67%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Choloma The Market 16%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.69/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.12
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Choloma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.10.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
10.08.2025 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Atletico Choloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana edged past Atletico Choloma 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Espana and 0.00 for Atletico Choloma.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Atletico Choloma?

Real Espana 2-1 Atletico Choloma in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Atletico Choloma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 64%, draw 26%, Atletico Choloma 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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