Al Ahli Doha 2-4 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 15 Feb 2026

Al Ahli Doha
2-4 HT 1-1
Umm Salal
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
KATEK – 2025/2026

Al Ahli Doha vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Doha v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Doha EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 42%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 84%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

Al Ahli Doha 2-4 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Doha
2-4
AWAY Umm Salal
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Doha vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal saw off Al Ahli Doha 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Umm Salal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Doha had 51% of the ball to Umm Salal's 49%, shots finished 18-18.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Doha vs Umm Salal?

Al Ahli Doha 2-4 Umm Salal in the KATEK on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Doha vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Doha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Doha 39%, draw 23%, Umm Salal 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Doha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Doha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →