Eldense 0-0 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.92
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
9%
3.94
X/2
9%
8.49
X/X
18%
3.51
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
8%
7.67
2/X
9%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.25/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.54
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.7 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cartagena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.30 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
281 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
0-0
AWAY Cartagena
0.99 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
242 Passes 150
67% Pass Accuracy 55%
25 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Cartagena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Eldense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eldense had 57% of the ball to Cartagena's 43%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Cartagena?

Eldense 0-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eldense 44%, draw 33%, Cartagena 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eldense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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