Empoli vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Bologna
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
4-2
HT 2-1
Bologna
İTA
3-1
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTA
Empoli 0-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna squeezed past Empoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Empoli had 29% of the ball to Bologna's 71%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.97 to 2.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bologna's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Empoli and 1.50 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Bologna?
Empoli 0-1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli 31%, draw 27%, Bologna 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.