Palermo 0-3 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Mar 2024

Palermo
0-3 HT 0-2
Venezia
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Palermo vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.7
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.67
X/2
13%
5.61
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.65
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.25/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.23
+28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.5 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Palermo vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.91 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.09.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-3 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
27.11.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
11.03.2019 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.10.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
10.06.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB

Palermo 0-3 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-3
AWAY Venezia
0.60 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
385 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia swept aside Palermo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Venezia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palermo had 54% of the ball to Venezia's 46%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.60 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palermo and 1.17 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Venezia?

Palermo 0-3 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palermo 35%, draw 27%, Venezia 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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