Catania 2-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.46
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.41/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
2-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania squeezed past Audace Cerignola 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Catania had 46% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Catania vs Audace Cerignola?

Catania 2-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Catania 42%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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