Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2024

Köln
1-5 HT 1-1
RB Leipzig
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Köln vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over Pick
56%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.64
2-3
44%
1.91
4-5
25%
2.86
6+
11%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.22
1/2
6%
20.75
1/X
8%
17.25
X/1
10%
12.5
X/2
19%
3.78
X/X
9%
6.54
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.81
2/X
5%
16.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Köln v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig The Market 67%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.10/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.09
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
20.4 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Köln vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-3D-2L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 2.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 6-0 HT 4-0 Köln Köln AL1
04.02.2023 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
13.08.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-2 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
11.02.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
18.09.2021 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
20.04.2021 Köln Köln 2-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1

Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-5
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.28 xG 3.36
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
214 Passes 514
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Köln vs RB Leipzig
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

RB Leipzig swept aside Köln 5-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%) landed.

On the day, RB Leipzig saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.28 to 3.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Köln against 2.17 for RB Leipzig.

Köln vs RB Leipzig Result & Final Score

Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Köln vs RB Leipzig Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Köln 23%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 55%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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