Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
1-0 HT 1-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Waldhof Mannheim vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.16
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.14
X/2
10%
6.27
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
21%
4.18
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.63/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.85
+10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.8 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Waldhof Mannheim vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.02.2002 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
10.08.2001 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5-0 HT 3-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL2
19.03.2001 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-3 HT 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
20.10.2000 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL2

Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Waldhof Mannheim made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 43% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 57%, shots finished 12-20.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 2.40 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 36%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld)
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