Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
22.10.2023 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
2-1
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) edged past Wolfsburg (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wolfsburg (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 40% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 60%, shots finished 6-28.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 14%, draw 22%, Wolfsburg (K) 63%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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