Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Deportivo Riestra
1-0 HT 1-0
Independiente
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.94
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
18%
7.0
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
7.84
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.7
X/1
6%
8.03
X/2
8%
3.7
X/X
12%
3.28
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.74
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Riestra v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 54%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.91/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.87
-49% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
27.0 Crosses 18.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-0
AWAY Independiente
0.92 xG 0.84
26% Ball Possession 74%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
78 Passes 401
48% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra squeezed past Independiente 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 26% of the ball to Independiente's 74%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 28%, draw 25%, Independiente 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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