Waasland-Beveren 0-1 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.8 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
417 Passes 190
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
0-1
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.06 xG 1.32
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
442 Passes 164
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden nicked a narrow win over Waasland-Beveren 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 67% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 33%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Waasland-Beveren 0-1 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 41%, draw 27%, Patro Eisden 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
15 Mar 2024
22:00 SV Zulte Waregem vs Beerschot VA Analysis →
22:00 Club Brugge II vs RFC Seraing Analysis →