Uganda U20 1-0 Güney Sudan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF - Afrika Oyunları, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Sudan U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Güney Sudan U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.78 xG 0.43
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
563 Passes 195
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.02.2023 Uganda U20 Uganda U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Sudan U20 Güney Sudan U20 CAFU20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda U20
1-0
AWAY Güney Sudan U20
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Uganda U20 vs Güney Sudan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda U20 squeezed past Güney Sudan U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uganda U20 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Uganda U20 had 63% of the ball to Güney Sudan U20's 37%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Uganda U20 vs Güney Sudan U20?

Uganda U20 1-0 Güney Sudan U20 in the CAF - Afrika Oyunları on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda U20 vs Güney Sudan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uganda U20 45%, draw 26%, Güney Sudan U20 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uganda U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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