Hellerup IK 2-3 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
32%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 59%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.01/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.73
+83% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Roskilde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 1-1 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
17.06.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
21.04.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
31.03.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
23.09.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 0-2 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
23.04.2021 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
2-3
AWAY Roskilde
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde nicked a narrow win over Hellerup IK 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roskilde as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 39% of the ball to Roskilde's 61%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hellerup IK and 0.67 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Roskilde?

Hellerup IK 2-3 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 23%, draw 27%, Roskilde 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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