Barito Putera 3-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 45%
-23% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.84/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.14
-40% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PSM Makassar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
09.02.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 4-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
10.01.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
28.01.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
27.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-2 HT 0-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
15.03.2020 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
11.12.2019 Barito Putera Barito Putera 3-2 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barito Putera
3-1
AWAY PSM Makassar
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 6
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera beat PSM Makassar 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barito Putera found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Barito Putera had 50% of the ball to PSM Makassar's 50%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barito Putera and 1.67 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar?

Barito Putera 3-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barito Putera win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 36%, draw 30%, PSM Makassar 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barito Putera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barito Putera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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