HNK Cibalia 2-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 36%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
2-1
AWAY Dugopolje
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia squeezed past Dugopolje 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; HNK Cibalia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 47% of the ball to Dugopolje's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje?

HNK Cibalia 2-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 37%, draw 29%, Dugopolje 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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