Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.18
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
7%
6.66
X/2
15%
5.24
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
19%
2.98
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.55/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.50
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +77%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.9 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.74 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
392 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
12.01.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
23.01.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.10.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-2 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
08.04.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 1-4 Heracles Heracles HOL
19.11.2016 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
2-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.76 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
301 Passes 376
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles beat Go Ahead Eagles 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Heracles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heracles had 45% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 55%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.76 to 1.56 — on chances, Go Ahead Eagles could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heracles and 2.00 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heracles 30%, draw 29%, Go Ahead Eagles 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →