Matagalpa 0-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Matagalpa
0-0 HT 0-0
Real Esteli
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2023/2024

Matagalpa vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
21%
+16.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
54%
-20.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Matagalpa v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 58%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.79/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.14
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
223 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Matagalpa vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.09.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
24.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
05.03.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 2-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
29.08.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa and Real Esteli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Matagalpa and 1.80 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Real Esteli?

Matagalpa 0-0 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 38%, draw 28%, Real Esteli 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Matagalpa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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