15/03/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Ammerthal vs Kornburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
32%
Draw
29%
33%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ammerthal v Kornburg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ammerthal
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kornburg
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
307 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
349 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ammerthal vs Kornburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kornburg edged past Ammerthal 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Kornburg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ammerthal vs Kornburg?
Ammerthal 1-2 Kornburg in the Germany - Oberliga on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ammerthal vs Kornburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ammerthal win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ammerthal 35%, draw 32%, Kornburg 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammerthal), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ammerthal)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
15 Mar 2024