Krka 1-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 15 Mar 2024

Krka
1-1 HT 1-0
Ilirija
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -28%
2.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.89
+31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 3-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVNK
03.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
04.05.2023 Krka Krka 3-2 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
23.10.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
19.03.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
1-1
AWAY Ilirija
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krka vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka and Ilirija shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Krka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krka had 37% of the ball to Ilirija's 63%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Krka and 1.60 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Krka vs Ilirija?

Krka 1-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krka 41%, draw 24%, Ilirija 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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