Al Kholood 3-1 Al Qaisoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.96/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.89
-45% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Qaisoma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2023 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
23.01.2023 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
3-1
AWAY Al Qaisoma
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Qaisoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood got the better of Al Qaisoma 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 55% of the ball to Al Qaisoma's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Kholood and 1.50 for Al Qaisoma.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Qaisoma?

Al Kholood 3-1 Al Qaisoma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Qaisoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 54%, draw 23%, Al Qaisoma 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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