Gençlerbirliği 2-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

Gençlerbirliği
2-0 HT 2-0
Kocaelispor
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.36
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
16%
4.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.48
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.31/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.98
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.6 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
326 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-2 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
20.03.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
24.10.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
31.01.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
24.08.2008 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
22.12.2002 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 5-1 HT 3-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL

Gençlerbirliği 2-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.97 xG 0.75
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
192 Passes 518
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği beat Kocaelispor 2-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gençlerbirliği found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 31% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 69%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.97 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Gençlerbirliği 2-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 31%, draw 30%, Kocaelispor 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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