Oleksandria 1-0 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Oleksandria
1-0 HT 0-0
Vorskla Poltava
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oleksandria v Vorskla Poltava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.25/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.33
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
01.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-0 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
12.09.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
17.10.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-2 HT 0-2 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
27.02.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 3-1 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
19.09.2020 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria edged past Vorskla Poltava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Oleksandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oleksandria and 1.33 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava?

Oleksandria 1-0 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 33%, draw 28%, Vorskla Poltava 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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