Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez
1-3 HT 0-2
Portuguesa FC
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Portuguesa FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hermanos Colmenarez v Portuguesa FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.97
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +91%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
19.2 Crosses 12.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Portuguesa FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
23.04.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-2 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
01.07.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.05.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
05.12.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
14.11.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 HT 2-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 Portuguesa FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-3
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.36 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC saw off Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Portuguesa FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 54% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.33 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Portuguesa FC?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 40%, draw 27%, Portuguesa FC 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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