East Fife 0-3 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Fife EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +11%
2.48/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
+33% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
164 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 132 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Fife
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
18.01.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-2 East Fife East Fife İK2
09.11.2024 East Fife East Fife 1-2 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
14.09.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 East Fife East Fife İK2
23.03.2024 East Fife East Fife 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
27.01.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-1 HT 0-1 East Fife East Fife İK2
21.10.2023 East Fife East Fife 4-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH East Fife vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer cruised past East Fife 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. East Fife carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Fife had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for East Fife and 0.83 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of East Fife vs Stranraer?

East Fife 0-3 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Fife vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Fife win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split East Fife 55%, draw 24%, Stranraer 21%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (East Fife), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Fife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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