Chertsey Town 0-1 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.23
Over 2.5
42%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.1pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.56/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
+11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chertsey Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
21.09.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
0-1
AWAY Dorchester Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town nicked a narrow win over Chertsey Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 47% of the ball to Dorchester Town's 53%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town?

Chertsey Town 0-1 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 30%, draw 26%, Dorchester Town 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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