Monza U20 1-2 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.41
No
53%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
67%
-20.0pp
53%
BTTS No
33%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+17% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cesena U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 2-2 HT 1-0 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza U20
1-2
AWAY Cesena U20
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena U20 squeezed past Monza U20 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Cesena U20 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monza U20 had 62% of the ball to Cesena U20's 38%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Monza U20 vs Cesena U20?

Monza U20 1-2 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monza U20 36%, draw 23%, Cesena U20 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesena U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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