Tenerife (K) 0-2 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
5%
+28.7pp
33%
Draw
8%
+25.8pp
33%
Away Win
88%
-54.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.76/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.55/0.44
+104% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.9
11.0 Crosses 28.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
0.23 xG 3.29
22% Ball Possession 78%
4 Total Shots 33
2 Shots on Target 15
2 Corners 12
131 Passes 648
64% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 56
8 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-1 HT 3-1 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
17.03.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 7-0 HT 6-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
0-2
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.27 xG 1.28
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
173 Passes 731
66% Pass Accuracy 92%
4 Box Touches 29
3 Crosses 32
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) beat Tenerife (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 24% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 76%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.27 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tenerife (K) and 6.00 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Tenerife (K) 0-2 Barcelona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Barcelona (K) 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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