Mushuc Runa 1-2 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.14/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+30% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-2
AWAY Cuniburo FC
2.12 xG 2.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 2
157 Passes 137
61% Pass Accuracy 57%
37 Box Touches 19
58 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC squeezed past Mushuc Runa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 56% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 44%, shots finished 28-13, expected goals 2.12 to 2.31.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC?

Mushuc Runa 1-2 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 47%, draw 27%, Cuniburo FC 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5
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