Connahs Quay 2-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
53%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.15/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +147%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.01.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
2-1
AWAY Llanelli Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Llanelli Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 55% of the ball to Llanelli Town's 45%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town?

Connahs Quay 2-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 59%, draw 24%, Llanelli Town 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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