Young Apostles 1-0 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Apostles EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.28
-3% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Apostles
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Accra Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
19.10.2024 Accra Lions 0-0 Young Apostles GANA
POST-MATCH Young Apostles vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Apostles edged past Accra Lions 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Young Apostles as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Young Apostles vs Accra Lions?

Young Apostles 1-0 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Apostles vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Apostles win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Young Apostles 49%, draw 32%, Accra Lions 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Apostles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Apostles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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