Hwaseong 2-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 15 Mar 2025

Hwaseong
2-1 HT 0-0
Cheongju FC
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Cheongju FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses 21.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hwaseong 2-1 Cheongju FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
2-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
186 Passes 245
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong squeezed past Cheongju FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hwaseong had 49% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC?

Hwaseong 2-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 39%, draw 25%, Cheongju FC 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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