Etimesgut Spor 0-1 Balıkesirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Balıkesirspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.32
-100% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etimesgut Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Balıkesirspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2024 Balıkesirspor Balıkesirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etimesgut Spor
0-1
AWAY Balıkesirspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs Balıkesirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balıkesirspor edged past Etimesgut Spor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Balıkesirspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Etimesgut Spor had 56% of the ball to Balıkesirspor's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs Balıkesirspor?

Etimesgut Spor 0-1 Balıkesirspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs Balıkesirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 38%, draw 28%, Balıkesirspor 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) ✓ Under 2.5
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