Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.40/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.44
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
10.12.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-1 HT 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
06.08.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 4-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.04.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
19.10.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
04.12.2021 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava edged past Rukh Vynnyky 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 0.50 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Vorskla Poltava?

Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 46%, draw 28%, Vorskla Poltava 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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