Maniema Union 2-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Mar 2026

Maniema Union
2-1 HT 1-0
USM Alger
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

Maniema Union vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.03
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.87
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.39
X/2
15%
7.64
X/X
14%
3.4
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
8%
6.74
2/X
6%
15.35
Value flag · 1/X at 14.05 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maniema Union v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 26%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.11
+73% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.0 Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Maniema Union 2-1 USM Alger — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maniema Union
2-1
AWAY USM Alger
1.50 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
246 Passes 146
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
17 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maniema Union vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maniema Union edged past USM Alger 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maniema Union as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maniema Union had 57% of the ball to USM Alger's 43%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.50 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Maniema Union vs USM Alger?

Maniema Union 2-1 USM Alger in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maniema Union vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maniema Union win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maniema Union 43%, draw 31%, USM Alger 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maniema Union), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maniema Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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