FC Rustavi vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Rustavi v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
FC Rustavi 1-2 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra shaded a tight game against FC Rustavi 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We leaned FC Rustavi at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. At 1.74 (~57%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, FC Rustavi had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 9-14.
FC Rustavi vs Gagra Result & Final Score
FC Rustavi 1-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Rustavi vs Gagra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Rustavi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Rustavi 41%, draw 26%, Gagra 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Rustavi) went the other way.